煤矿安全心理生态的交互结构、演化机理与引导政策研究

Serious psychological system degradation problem in coalmine is increasing while Chinese Coal industry experiences its 10 years high speed expansion development. Coalmine safety management faces the new complex situation. So, a new breakthrough on coalmine safety management theory based on psychology and behavior is needed.In this study,"ecology" was used to describe the system named "safety psychological ecology system of coalmine", which containing the complexity characteristic of individuals' psychological and behavioral interactions and evolution and the complexity relation between individuals and the close environment. The qualitative analysis, mathematical modeling and artificial intelligence simulation method based on complex adaptive will be used in this study. Firstly, the composition and structure of the system should be characterized through the studying of the morphology structure, energy structure and interaction distribution structure; Secondly, the psychological process and its development law of the individual who exchanges the resource and emotion with others should be revealed; the prospect status space, value function and decision criteria of the interact behaviors in the safety psychological ecology system of coalmine should be constructed; the field structure of relation and energy variation of the safety psychological ecology system should be characterized; and then the interaction structure and dynamic mechanism should be revealed. Thirdly, the index system of key decision scale information and measurement techniques will be developed, which can be used to measure and evaluate the "status" and "potential" of the system, thus the core concept and guidelines of the healthy safety psychological ecology of coalmine also will be constructed. At last, basic frame of the guiding policy of healthy safety psychological ecology of coalmine based on "two-status" health should be put forward, which can lead the methodology innovation of coalmine safety management policy-making.

煤炭产业近十年高速扩张式发展伴生着严重的煤矿心理系统的劣化问题，煤矿安全管理呈现新的复杂局面，基于心理与行为视角的煤矿安全管理理论亟待形成新突破。本研究基于对煤矿安全系统中活动主体间心理与行为的交互与演化的复杂特征及其与近体环境间关系的深刻思考，引入"生态"概念对其加以描述，并将之称为"煤矿安全心理生态系统"。采用质性分析、数学建模及人工智能仿真等方法，从形态、能量以及交互分布结构研究入手，刻画系统组成与结构关系，揭示系统主体基于资源、情感交互的心理过程和发展规律，构建系统中交互行为的前景状态空间、价值函数和决策准则，刻画系统的关系场结构及量能变化规律，揭示系统演化的交互结构及动力机制。基于心理镜像与境像的映射关系，开发系统演化的"态-势"测度的关键决策标度信息指标体系和测量技术，建构煤矿安全心理生态健康的核心概念和刻画准则，形成基于"双态"健康的安全心理生态培育政策，创新政策设计方法论。

煤炭“黄金十年”高速扩张式发展所掩盖的问题日益凸显，煤矿安全生产正面临前所未有的新困境。煤矿事故的发生是对煤矿生产活动特定阶段中主体或主体间的心理、行为、关系劣化问题的深层映射，基于行为控制视角的煤矿安全管理理论亟待形成新的突破。研究基于对煤矿安全系统中活动主体间心理与行为的交互与演化的复杂特征及其与近体环境间关系的深刻思考，引入“生态”概念对其加以描述，并将之称为“煤矿安全心理生态系统”。采用质性分析、数学建模及基于复杂适应性的人工智能仿真等方法，从形态结构、能量结构以及交互分布结构研究入手，刻画系统组成与结构关系，进而从心理层面揭示个体与其他环境主体基于资源、情感交互的心理过程和发展规律，从行为层面构建煤矿安全心理生态系统中交互行为的前景状态空间、价值函数和决策准则，从关系层面刻画煤矿安全心理生态系统的关系场结构及量能变化规律，揭示系统演化的交互结构及交互动力机制。基于心理镜像与心理境像的映射关系，开发系统演化的“态”测度与“势”评价的关键决策标度信息指标体系和测量技术，构建煤矿安全心理生态健康的核心概念和基本刻画准则，形成基于“双态”健康的安全心理生态培育政策的基本架构，创新煤矿安全管理政策制定的方法论。研究突破了常规的基于个体自身心理系统的研究范式，更加真实地揭示系统中活动主体间心理特征信息的交互与演化及其与近体环境间的作用关系，是对安全科学理论的重要拓展；研究基于“安全心理-环境认知-交往关系”的内在关联性，研究煤矿安全心理生态系统的交互结构及其动力机制，以群体结构划分为基础，从群体层面揭示个体与其所处环境要素间的心理交互过程和演化规律，提出个体“态”健康和群体“态”健康概念和测度框架，是安全管理理论研究的全新视角，为形成新的基于心理生态观的煤矿安全管理理论建构基础；研究提出了煤矿安全心理生态优化的干预措施，为煤矿安全管理政策制定和实施提供微观的有效的路径基础。