基于“流-谱”分析的苏南资源配置与空间转型研究

Transition becomes an important trend in social and economic decelopment in China, especially in devoloped area such as South Jiangsu Province(Sunan)。Since the reform and opening-up, the development modes of South Jiangsu Province have experienced a process of transition, which from rural economy to open economy, and then to innovative economy. The study intends to take South Jiangsu Province as a empirical case to research the interaction law and mechanism of resource allocation and change of spatial pattern during the transition period. Based on the transition of development mode, the study takes the change of resource allocation as flow, and spatial pattern as spectrum, constructing a united analytical framework of flow-spectrum. First, the study measures the changing process of flow including population flows, capital flows and conversion of land-use types, and evaluates the changing process of spatial pattern and structure, namely spectrum. On the basis of this backgroud, the study explains the mapping and coupling relationship of key parameters through spatial-temporal analysis of flow and spectrum in different modes and development stages. Second, by using the cost-benefit analysis method, the study explains the driving mechanism of transition and evolution of development mode which act on the formation and evolution of flow-spectrum quantitatively. Third, according to future requirements of transition development in South Jiangsu Province, the study proposes possible states and evolution trends of resource allocation and spatial pattern as well as some optimization regulation proposals. The study would enrich relevant theories and methods of economic geography, and provides scientific basis for spatial policy making during transition period in South Jiangsu Province, meanwhile offers a reference for other parts in China.

转型已成为我国，特别是苏南等发达地区经济社会发展的重要趋势。本项目拟以苏南地区为实证，研究改革开放以来苏南乡镇经济-开放型经济-创新经济的发展模式转型变迁过程中，资源配置和空间格局变化的互适规律和作用机理。以发展模式转型为背景，以资源配置变化为"流"、以空间格局状态为"谱"，建立"流-谱"统一的分析框架。在测度人口流动、资本流动和土地利用类型转换等"流"与空间形态和结构"谱"变化过程的基础上，通过不同发展模式和阶段的"流"、"谱"的时空关联分析，解析关键参数的映射和耦合关系；通过成本-效益评估方法，揭示发展模式转型和演进对"流-谱"形成和演化的驱动机理；依据未来苏南发展模式转型的需求，提出资源配置和空间格局的可能状态与演化趋势，并提出优化调控建议。本项目研究将进一步丰富经济地理学和区域发展研究的相关理论和方法，同时为苏南地区转型期的空间政策制定提供科学依据，也为全国其他地区提供参考和借鉴。

转型已成为我国，特别是苏南等发达地区经济社会发展的重要趋势。本项目拟以苏南地区为实证，研究改革开放以来苏南乡镇经济-开放型经济-创新经济的发展模式转型变迁过程中，资源配置和空间格局变化的互适规律和作用机理。基于ARCGIS平台集成苏南地区典型年份的遥感影像数据、土地利用数据、人口和经济社会统计数据、工商企业登记数据、访谈问卷数据等，建立苏南空间资源配置分析数据库，重点开展三个方面研究：一是甄选苏南地区人口、经济和建设用地等要素空间布局及演化测度的主要指标，反演了不同阶段苏南地区或典型城市的资源配置“流”过程和要素格局“谱”变化，总结苏南地区空间格局变化过程和规律；二是开展要素配置协调关系分析，在此基础上尝试将发展模式纳入“流-谱”过程分析框架中，探讨不同发展模式对“流-谱”关系形成和演化的驱动机理；三是基于要素流动与空间格局演化机理分析，探索构建空间格局“谱”组织和要素“流”配置的科学路径和方法，提出优化调控建议。研究有助于丰富经济地理学和区域发展研究的相关理论和方法，同时为苏南地区转型期的空间政策制定提供科学依据，也为全国其他地区提供参考和借鉴。