政府行为作用下的我国制造业集聚空间演化与集聚效率研究

During the ongoing transitional process of the China's economy, the government behavior has been constantly embedded in the evolution of the industrial agglomeration and the local government-oriented regional competition has a direct and far-reaching impact on the distribution of industries. Based on existing empirical literature on the spatial distribution features and the evolutionary path of the industry agglomeration in China, the project will focus on the government behavior and define an endogenous variable that captures the effect government behavior in terms of public services, policy and government participation. Using the analytical framework of the new Geographical Economics Theory, we will develop an Industrial History-Government Behavior-Common Expectation Model (H-G-E model) to analyze the increasing returns mechanism of agglomeration. Employing this H-G-E model, we will investigate the spatial evolutionary mechanism of the industry agglomeration and the evolutionary path under the governmental actions. We will also analyze the changes in agglomeration efficiency due to the local government-oriented competition, and the effect of the optimum-scale of industry agglomeration caused by the embedded government behavior. This project will furtherly compare the differences of industry agglomeration efficiency among Eastern, Central and Western of China, which might be caused by the differences in the regional institutional environment and government behavior. We will conduct an international comparison with developed countries in terms of policy systems and government behavior in China, in order to examine the effectiveness of system innovation undertaken by the government to promote industrial agglomeration. The findings from this project will provide valuable information for the government policy makers, including Hainan province, etc.

在我国当前转轨经济实践中，政府行为不断嵌入产业集聚演化进程；地方政府主导下的地区间竞争格局对制造业集聚分布有直接而深远的影响。本项目在对中国制造业集聚空间分布特征与历史演化路径的实证分析基础上，拟把政府行为纳入研究视野，基于新经济地理学理论分析框架，将涵盖公共服务、政策和政府参与等在内的政府行为内生化为模型变量，构造产业集聚"产业历史-政府行为-共同预期"（H-G-E）模型，研究包含政府行为变量的集聚收益递增机制。基于H-G-E模型，研究政府行为作用下中国制造业集聚的演化机制和演化路径；分析地方政府间竞争引致的集聚效率扭曲，以及政府行为嵌入对集聚最优规模的影响。项目还将比较我国东、中、西部的制度环境和政府行为不同所导致的集聚效率差异，将发达国家政策体系与中国转轨情境的政府行为进行国际比较，探讨地方政府为推动产业集聚而采取的制度创新行为之有效性，从而服务于包含海南省在内的地方政府政策制定。

在转轨期中国的当前经济实践中，政府行为不断嵌入产业集聚演化进程；地方政府主导的地区间竞争格局对产业集聚分布有直接而深远的影响。本项目把政府行为纳入研究视野，在对中国产业集聚空间分布特征与历史演化路径的实证分析基础上，基于新经济地理学理论分析框架，将涵盖公共服务、政府政策和政府参与等在内的政府行为内生化为模型变量，构造了产业集聚实证分析模型；并基于统计数据和调研信息，研究政府行为作用下的产业集聚空间演化机制和集聚演化路径。本研究还尝试比较了中国东、中、西部地区制度环境和政府行为不同导致的产业集聚效率差异，将发达国家的政策体系与中国产业情境的政府行为进行国际比较，探讨政府为推动产业集聚而采取的制度创新行为的有效性，形成一些政策建议，提交给包括海南省在内的若干地方政府政策制定实践。