非线性振荡理论在云南局地气候研究中的应用

According to the research content, research method and the corresponding research route shown in proposal report, the nonlinear oscillation theory was introduce to study the Yunnan local climate change. In light of the development of studying climate change and nonlinear oscillation theory, the differential equations of describing Yunnan local climate change was retrieved with inversion theory and the corresponding observational data, and then some of the Yunnan local climate change law were obtained. Dynamic-stochastic methods that have better predictability were developed and were used to predict the short term climate change in Yunnan Province. A forecasting system for short term climate change of Yunnan that has higer forcasting accuracy was designed. 17 research papers have been published; 1 papers are waiting for being pubished; and 1 research works has been published. All these indicate that the research aim has been realiaed.

借鉴国内外气候变化和非线性振荡理论研究的最新进展，将非线性振动理论应用于云南局部气候研究中，根据微分方程的反演理论描述云南局地气候演化的微分方程，获取云南省局地气候的演化规律，将所认识的云南省局地气候的演化规律应用于云南省的防灾减灾工作中，促进云南省社会、经济的持续、快速、健康发展。