中国农业公共投资优选序研究

This project develops an analytical framework to assess the impact of.government spending on both growth and reduction in poverty. Using Chinese.provincial-level data for 1970–97, the paper estimates a simultaneous equations.model to estimate the effects of different types of government xpenditure. The model not only ranks the marginal effects of government spending on growth and poverty,but it also tracks various channels of spending and their effectiveness. The latter is important because it enables policymakers to focus on strengthening the weak links in.the poverty-reduction chain..The results show that government spending, such as agricultural R&D, irrigation,rural education, and infrastructure contributed not only to agricultural production growth, but also to reduction of rural. But variations in the magnitude of the effects.are large among different types of spending, as well as across regions. It is the western region where public investments have the largest poverty reduction impact,and most of these investments have larger economic returns. The results imply that there is a large potential to gain more growth and poverty reduction if the government can optimize its budget allocations among different sectors and across regions

农业公共投资对我国农业的增长作用是显著的。而农业公共投资水平的下降，伴随着农业资源，减少经济全球化对我国农业的冲击，使得我国如何保障食物安全成为全球关注的焦点。本研究旨在对我国农业公共投资决策的影响因素分析，在对农业公共投资效率进行测算等基础上，得出未来农业公共投资优先序，同时提出增加农业公共投资的政策措施和制度保障。.