新型城镇化背景下西部县域产业重叠化解机制研究

At present, China is facing the manufacturing overcapacity problem. On the one hand, there is the insufficient effective demand, on the other hand, there is insufficient effective supply. It seems that the function of market has not been released fully causing the insufficient demand and supply, however, the reality is that the bureaucratic administrative system and economic growth with regional segmentation have blocked the formation of synergetic collaboration and sharing mechanism. It is especially particularly serious in the western region that industrial overlap and manufacturing overcapacity phenomenon triggered in the development of county economy. Industrial overlap is the objective representation of manufacturing overcapacity and the biggest obstacle of insufficient effective supply and demand. It not only wastes a huge number of resources, but also occupies a significant resources and creates the magnetic effects of oversupply. Therefore, it is necessary to solve the problem of industrial overlap first in order to solve the problem of manufacturing overcapacity. It is also essential to solve the problem of county bureaucratic administrative and economic society operation system with separate independence and having a style all of its own firstly in order to solve the problem of industrial overlap. This research analyses the system and mechanism causes to form the county industrial overlap from the perspective of new urbanization. And also studies the strategies to abolish the constraints of administrative governing with separate independence and having a style all of its own. This research then establishes the sound synergetic economic collaboration and sharing mechanism with trinity in government consultation, enterprise collaboration and market synergy to release development power by innovating system and mechanism, to regulate competition order and balance stakeholders’ interest relationship, to promote the healthy and integrated development of county economic society.

当前我国面临的产能过剩，一方面是有效需求不足，另一方面则是有效供给不够，需求不足与供给不够看似市场功能没有充分的释放，实际是地域分割的行政体系和经济增长模式阻碍了协同和共享机制的形成，特别在西部地区县域经济发展中引发的产业重叠、产能过剩现象尤为严重。产业重叠是产能过剩的客观表象，是有效供给不足和有效需求不够的最大障碍，产业重叠不但浪费了大量的资源，还占用了大量资源，造成供给过剩的磁性效应。因此，解决产能过剩的问题，必先解决产业重叠的问题；解决产业重叠的问题，必先解决各自独立、自成一体的县域行政、经济社会运行体系问题。本研究从新型城镇化的视角来分析县域产业重叠形成的体制机制原因，研究破除各自独立、自成一体的行政治理束缚，建立健全政府协商、企业协作、市场协同“三位一体”的经济协同合作共享机制，以体制机制创新释放发展动力、规范竞争秩序、平衡利益关系、促进西部地区县域经济社会健康融合发展。

城镇化是一个资源融合、城乡融合、产业融合的现代化进程。加快城镇化建设是保持经济平稳发展的强大动力。然而，随着新型城镇化建设的推进，县域经济运行体系中各自独立、自成一体的行政制度逐步暴露出权责分割、环境整治分离等弊端。特别是在西部地区，县域之间为争项目、比优势，出现恶性竞争现象，形成产业重叠与产能过剩，不仅造成了资源配置浪费，还引起行政体系之间相互排斥，最终导致区域经济运行效率低下。.本课题首先对国内外现有文献进行梳理，阐释了县域产业重叠的内涵，探讨了产业重叠形成的内外部机理包括体制性与非体制性因素，其中，体制性因素中政府与市场在资源分配中出现的职能矛盾是造成县域产业重叠的主要原因；其次，基于实地调研的结果，运用相似系数法和DEA—Malmquist非参数分析法对产业重叠进行了测度，以云南省为例，所有县市的产业结构相似指数均高于0.9，产能利用率大部分低于79%的临界值，产业重叠程度较高；再次，借助广义因子分析法构建了包含1个一级指标、5个二级指标、24个三级指标在内的产业重叠化解和经济协同共享的指标体系；最后，基于晋升博弈模型，在完全信息和不完全信息的情景下，构建双重博弈模型，并以云南省“文砚平”工业园区为例，构建了县域产业重叠化解机制的系统动力学模型，并提出以下产业重叠化解机制方案：1. 构建县域发展制度合力机制，尊重产业市场规律，降低行政干预，促进产业空间变革。2. 搭建区域间产业协同发展共享平台和决策服务平台，提升区域产业协同水平，推进区域产业决策系统优化。3. 强化产业链、价值链高质量考核标准，积极培育区域支柱性产业，规避非合意性产业重叠。.通过对西部县域产业重叠形成的机理、测度、评价以及化解机制的研究，厘清了产业结构、产能过剩与产业重叠的关系，发现了破解产业重叠的关键因素，找到了优化县域经济协同共享治理方法的路径，从而为加快县域经济结构调整提供了理论依据，也为西部地区县域经济高质量发展提供了实践指导。