生态文明视阈下区域旅游产业低碳化转型驱动机制与空间效应研究——以长江三角洲为例

Carbon emission is a key driving force of tourism global environmental impact. In the background of ecological civilization, to strengthen tourism low carbon transformation research, is not only the realistic demand to respond to the climate change and have it blended into the national development strategy, but also an important scientific problem that reveals the essence of tourism sustainable development. With the starting points of regional tourism carbon emissions evaluation, and by taking regional tourism low carbon transformation mechanism as the focal point and the low carbon transformation space effect as the foothold, the project selects Yangtze River Delta as a typical study area to establish a systematic analysis framework which integrates low carbon measure, transformation mechanism, space effect by comprehensively using the relevant theories such as Tourism Geography, Nonlinear Dynamics, Evolutionary Economics, Spatial Economics, etc. By virtue of applying a variety of mathematical modeling methods, such as GIS techniques, multivariate statistical model, coupling coordination degree model and spatial econometric model, it intensively discusses the pattern, mechanism and effect of regional tourism low carbon transformation. Consequently, it will help to deepen the cognition of the law of tourism carbon emissions and tourism low carbon transformation, enrich the theoretical connotation and methodology of tourism geography, and have guiding significance and application value to promote energy conservation and emission reduction in tourism industry and the construction of low carbon tourism destination.

碳排放是旅游业全球环境影响的关键驱动力。在生态文明视阈下，加强旅游业低碳化转型研究既是响应气候变化、融入国家重大战略的现实需求，更是体现旅游可持续发展本质的重要科学问题。本项目选择长三角地区为典型案例地，以区域旅游业碳排放评价为切入点，以区域旅游业低碳化转型内在机理研究为着力点，以低碳化转型的空间效应研究为归宿点，综合运用旅游地理学、非线性动力学、演化经济学、空间经济学等相关理论，确立低碳测度、转型机制、空间效应“三位一体”的系统分析框架。借助GIS技术、多元统计模型、耦合协调度模型、空间计量模型等多种数学建模方法，突破以往旅游转型研究中宏观定性、静态描述为主的局限，深入研究生态文明视阈下区域旅游业低碳化转型的格局、机理与效应。本研究深化对旅游业碳排放及旅游业低碳化转型规律的认识，丰富旅游地理学的理论内涵与方法体系，并对推动旅游业节能减排和生态文明建设具有重要的指导意义和应用价值。

碳排放是旅游业全球环境影响的关键驱动力。在“双碳”目标驱动下，促进旅游业低碳化发展，推动生态文明建设是旅游业可持续发展的必然之举。本项目以长三角地区为典型案例地，综合运用旅游地理学、生态经济学、GIS空间分析方法、社会网络分析方法、地理探测器、等理论与方法，以区域旅游业碳排放测度为基础，检验旅游目的地居民的碳素养，构建低碳旅游系统，评估碳排放贸易对低碳发展的影响；深入探讨区域旅游业低碳化转型的驱动机制，以碳排放为非期望型产出，分析区域旅游业生态影响、生态效率、生态安全的时空结构、影响因素及空间效应，并对低碳型旅游住宿业的空间布局及影响因素进行了深入分析。本研究深化了旅游业碳排放及其对环境影响的认识，丰富了旅游地理学的理论内涵，对推动旅游业节能减排，促进生态文明建设，早日实现旅游业“双碳”目标具有理论与现实意义。