考虑服务水平的高铁路网运输能力协调评估理论与方法研究

High-speed railway transport capacity coordination evaluation is an important way .to identify bottlenecks and optimize the usage of high-speed network capacity. The overall high-speed network transport capacity depends on the coordination of points, lines and network transport capacity. At present, the coordination transport capacity of points and lines cannot meet the demand of high-speed rail transportation service, and limit the effective use of operational plan and capacity. Therefore, the project will propose the theory and method of transport capacity coordination evaluation for high-speed railway network considering service level to conform to the capacity utilization feature of high-speed railway network. This project reveals the high-speed railway network system coordination mechanism by systematic methods, and construct static and dynamic coordinate evaluation index system of high-speed railway network, from the aspects about total capacity, capacity utilization, capacity flexibility level. Present a method to calculate the transport capacity of points, lines which satisfies the service level constraints. By constructing the network maximum flow model for the static coordination of the high-speed railway network, and constructing the multi-constrained train flow maximum planning model for the dynamic coordination of the high-speed railway network, static and dynamic coordination indexes of high-speed railway network are quantified. Based on the theory of coordination degree, a comprehensive evaluation method for high-speed railway network capacity coordination are proposed. Determine the capacity coordination degree grading standard and propose high capacity coordination strategies to improve the railway network. It is expected that the research results will provide theoretical support and technical support for the optimization and utilization of high-speed railway network.

高铁路网运能协调评估是识别高铁路网能力瓶颈、优化高铁路网利用的重要手段。高铁路网整体运能取决于点、线、网三个层面运能的协调程度,目前基于局部“点线”协调的运能研究无法满足网络化运营为主的高铁运输服务需求，将制约高铁运营能力的有效利用。因此，本项目提出符合高铁路网运能利用特点的考虑服务水平的高铁路网运能协调评估理论与方法。运用系统学方法揭示高铁路网运能协调机理，从运能总量、运能利用、运能弹性等层面，构建高铁路网静态、动态协调指标体系；提出满足服务水平约束的高铁路网运能计算方法；通过为高铁路网静态协调构建网络最大流模型，为高铁路网动态协调构建多约束列车流最大计划编制模型的方法，定量化高铁路网静态、动态协调指标；基于协调度理论，提出高铁路网运能协调综合评价方法，制定运能协调度分级标准，最后提出高铁路网运能协调提高策略。预期研究成果将为高铁路网运能优化利用提供理论支撑和技术支持。

考虑服务水平的高铁路网运能协调评估是较新的研究课题，其理论与方法研究有助于全面考察路网运能利用效果，准确识别路网能力瓶颈，对于满足以网络化运营为主的高铁运输服务需求有重要的参考价值。本项目从高铁路网运能协调机理、满足服务水平约束的高铁路网运能计算方法、考虑服务水平的高铁路网运能协调指标体系构建及评价方法等方面展开研究，主要取得了以下研究成果：（1）将高铁路网系统运能的协调性问题细化界定为高铁路网运能供需适应性、高铁路网点线运能协调性（车站与区间、车站与动车所）两个层次进行协调研究，从运能总量、运能利用、运能弹性等层面，初步构建了高铁路网协调指标体系；（2）对高铁路网“点”、“线”系统的运能服务水平影响因素展开研究，提出了基于列车站内牵引计算及多场景应用的高铁车站通过能力计算方法、满足多模式混合列车运行方案的高铁区段通过能力计算方法；（3）定量化高铁路网服务水平，提出了满足服务水平约束的基于客流OD配流优化的高铁路网运能计算方法，实现了高铁路网供需适应性的动态评估；（4）通过建立高速铁路枢纽站技术作业计划与动车所调车作业计划一体化编制模型，设计启发式分配规则与并行禁忌搜索算法相结合的混合优化算法进行模型求解，实现了高铁枢纽站与动车所能力的协调运用及动态协调评估；（5）对不同运输组织模式（规格化运行图、停站方案、天窗设置、换乘方案等）下的高铁路网运能利用优化方法进行研究，为高铁路网运能利用协调性的提升提供理论支撑；（6）针对高铁路网枢纽运能计算及评估进行了“高速铁路车站咽喉能力检算与仿真系统”、“铁路客运枢纽作业计划系统”的研发工作，达到了实用阶段。本项目的理论与方法可为高铁路网运能优化利用提供理论支撑和技术支持。