关于数值预报提为概率密度随时间演化问题的研究

The nonlinear simplified short-term climate model is built by the wavelet analytical method, which is transformed into the Fokker-Planck equation. With many achievements in nonlinear sciences such as the matrix separating method, the evolutions and predicted upper limit of various characteristics to the climate are investigated in details, then probing into the nonlinear.influence via the driving force. The evolution approach of the probability density describing the climate equations makes theory study, above all the prediction theory and new methods for theshort-term climate.

针对气候预测问题，通过发展各阶次气候过程信息分离法来建立一个简化的非线性气候模式，转化成Fokker-Planck方程，运用矩陈连分和随机共振理论等非线性研究成果，研究各除谴翁卣髁克媸奔涞难莼⑷范ǜ鹘状涡藕诺脑げ馍舷蓿约疤教种芷谇投愿鹘状涡藕诺姆窍唧拥挠跋臁６栽けǖ母怕恃莼揪蹲骼砺坌匝芯浚岣黄蛟げ饫砺邸