战略性新兴产业创新价值链脆弱性形成机理与超循环调控研究

Strategic emerging industries have weaker controlling force of global value chain, lower driving force of innovation value chain, slowly increasing of total factor productivity presently. It shows that each joint of multiple chains can't link up effectively. In order to solve this problem, the theory of complex system vulnerability is used for reference to analyze the system vulnerability characters of innovations behaviors in strategic emerging industries. The research is specified in the following aspects, using the frame of innovation value chain for strategic emerging industries:(1)Revealing the disturbance factors in the process of innovation for strategic emerging industries, then analyze the impact and cumulative effect mechanism of structural and pressure disturbance factors on innovation value chain.(2)Evaluating double effects on innovation value chain which are brought by the global value chain embedded through strategy oriented innovation ability. It analyses the chain relevance among efficiency of each joint in the innovation chain which is oriented by emerging innovation efficiency. It sets up the matrix of innovation value chain effectiveness and takes each profession in the strategic emerging industries as samples to get a classification demonstration. Then this project reveals the vulnerable joints of these innovation activities. (3) Constructing the support scheme of hypercycle control of innovation management based on repairing of vulnerable joints can control the diffusion of the innovation activity vulnerability by chain-chain coordination. In the end, it achieves effective link and collaborative conversion among each joint of the innovation value chain. The outcome of this project provides references for strategic emerging industries to achieve high-end lock of global value chain and efficiency improvement of innovation value chain.

战略性新兴产业全球价值链控制力较弱、创新价值链驱动力较低、全要素生产率增长较慢，凸显出多链条各环节未能有效衔接。借鉴复杂系统脆弱性理论，分析战略性新兴产业创新行为的系统脆弱性特征。课题采用战略性新兴产业创新价值链框架展开研究：（1）揭示战略性新兴产业创新过程中的扰动因素，剖析结构性与压力性扰动因素对创新价值链的冲击式和累积式作用机理。（2）通过“战略性”导向的创新能力评价，研究全球价值链嵌入对创新价值链的双重效应。通过“新兴化”导向的创新效率评价，研究战略性新兴产业创新价值链各环节效率链式关联性。建立创新价值链效能矩阵，以战略性新兴产业各行业为样本分类论证，揭示战略性新兴产业创新活动的脆弱环节。（3）基于脆弱环节修复，提出超循环调控的创新管理支持方案，通过链链协同，控制创新活动脆弱性扩散，实现创新价值链各环节功能有效衔接和协同转换，推动战略性新兴产业全球价值链高端锁定和创新价值链效率提升。

依据创新产出、创新内容、创新主体、创新投入，构建双重导向、三项环节、四类转化的战略性新兴产业“四三结构”创新体系，建立与“四三结构”对接的战略性新兴产业创新价值链框架，研究战略性新兴产业创新效能及成长模式，推动创新价值链均衡传导。通过“战略性”导向的创新能力评价，结合战略性新兴产业发展先导性和创新依赖性特征，基于“四三结构”创新体系，从研发创新、转化创新、产品创新、载体创新四个维度及创新价值链三个环节，构建战略性新兴产业创新能力评价指标体系。判别表明四个维度呈现非均衡性和区域差异性，设计创新能力均衡发展筛选体系，选定战略性新兴产业创新能力均衡推进区。通过“新兴化”导向的创新效率评价，研究战略性新兴产业创新价值链各环节效率链式关联性和空间极化效应。构建创新价值链投入产出模型，选择随机前沿分析法测度创新价值链各环节投入产出效率，识别创新效率影响因素。企业类型及国家高新区载体差异，影响战略性新兴产业技术效率。战略性新兴产业主导的创新型产业集群，存在前期无有效产出或创新产出滞后，投入与产出不匹配。选取70个创新型产业集群，运用三阶段DEA方法测度战略性新兴产业技术效率行业异质性。通过建立创新价值链效能矩阵，以战略性新兴产业各行业为样本分类论证，测度各细分行业创新价值链效率损失及影响因素，揭示战略性新兴产业创新活动脆弱环节和创新效率空间分异，研判战略性新兴产业创新能力三力模型均衡性，强化战略性新兴产业创新主体对创新价值链把控程度，弱化哑铃型结构，促使战略性新兴产业创新价值链前端研发创新优势向中末端扩散。双重差分法验证创新型产业集群能够提高国家高新区集聚效应和创新效率，通过构建“国家高新区-创新型产业集群-战略性新兴产业”成长模式，依托国家高新区开展创新型产业集群试点，将创新价值链差异转为创新资源补链，实现创新效能同步提升，为全面提升战略性新兴产业创新能力提供参考依据。