我国周边大国地缘战略交汇区地缘环境演变机制研究——以缅甸为例

Along with the world's major economic and power center shift to Asia-Pacific region, the world's major powers, led by the United States, adjust the geopolitical strategy. This led to form multiple intersection area of big powers' geopolitical strategy, those areas' geo-setting are complicated and changeful. Given the typicality and importance of Myanmar, the project plan to take Myanmar, one of the big powers' geopolitical strategy intersection areas as an example. By explaining the concept, theory and method of geo-setting, we use the structural equation model to evaluate the geo-setting of Myanmar accurately, and analysis the evolution from the qualitative and quantitative, history and reality, macro and micro scale. so we can summarize the evolution stages, characteristics and motivation of Myanmar's geo-setting. Combination of big powers' geopolitical strategy impact on the geo-setting of Myanmar, we use the constructivism analysis method combined with typical cases to explore the evolvement mechanism of big powers' geostrategic intersection zone and put forward the coping strategies of china. This project has the vital significance in the field of expanding geopolitical research, deepening the evolvement mechanism of geo-setting in the intersection area of big powers' geopolitical strategy, and rich the division of space in the geopolitics. Similarly, the project has important practical value in maintaining our perimeter security and economic interests abroad under the "new norrmal" , promoting "one belt and one road", and completing the peripheral diplomatic mission of china.

伴随世界主要经济和实力中心向亚洲—太平洋地区转移，以美国为首的世界主要大国进行了地缘战略调整，由此导致在我国周边形成多个大国地缘战略交汇区，其地缘环境变得异常复杂多变。鉴于缅甸典型性和重要性，本项目拟以大国地缘战略交汇之一的缅甸为例，通过对地缘环境概念、理论、方法解析，采用结构方程模型精准评价缅甸地缘环境，并从定性与定量、历史与现实、宏观与微观尺度剖析地缘环境演变，归纳其演变阶段、特征和动因。结合对大国地缘战略对缅甸地缘环境影响分析，采用建构主义分析方法与典型案例相结合探讨大国地缘战略交汇区地缘环境演变机制，并据此提出我国的应对策略。本项目研究对于拓展地缘政治学研究的新领域，深化对大国地缘战略交汇区地缘环境演变机制的新认识和丰富对全球地缘政治经济空间划分思想具有重要的理论意义；对“新常态”下维护我国周边安全和海外经济利益，助力推进共建“一带一路”，实现我国周边外交任务等具有重要的实践价值。

伴随世界主要经济和实力中心向亚洲-太平洋地区转移，以美国为首的世界主要大国进行了地缘战略调整，由此导致在我国周边形成多个大国地缘战略交汇区，其地缘环境变得异常复杂多变。鉴于缅甸典型性和重要性，本项目以大国地缘战略交汇区之一的缅甸为例，通过对地缘环境概念、理论、方法解析，采用结构主义分析方法对缅甸地缘环境进行了评价，并从定性与定量、历史与现实、宏观与微观尺度剖析其地缘环境演变，归纳其演变阶段、特征和动因。缅甸地缘环境变化的前提是全球地缘政治经济格局的变化，而其内部地缘环境状况是演变的基础，大国地缘战略的主体间性是交汇区地缘环境演变的主导力，大国地缘安全与利益是交汇区地缘环境变化的驱动力，交汇区地缘区位价值的变化是其制约力。本项目研究对于拓展地缘政治学研究的新领域，深化对大国地缘战略交汇区地缘环境演变机制的新认识和丰富对全球地缘政治经济空间划分思想具有重要的理论意义，对“新常态”下维护我国周边安全和海外经济利益，助力推进共建“一带一路”，实现我国周边外交任务等具有重要的实践价值。除此之外，本项目对开展和理解类似于缅甸国家的其他国家和地区的地缘环境演变具有重要的借鉴和启示意义。