家庭农场创业代际传递：弹性测度、内在机理及匹配效应

With the acceleration of the aging process of rural population ,agricultural labors shortage in China is becoming more and more serious, “who will farming” has become a major social problem, which will bring unprecedented challenges to China's food security ,while sustainable development of the family farm as main body of new agricultural management is the key to solve this problem . Therefore, how to promote the intergenerational transmission of family farm business is particularly important in order to make more people engage in agricultural production.According to the intergenerational transfer theory and entrepreneurial theory and using the data of micro-surveyed,firstly, the project calculates the intergenerational transmission elastic of family farm business, On the basis of analyzing the characteristic of intergenerational transmission of family farms business . Secondly we plan to build theory and empirical model to reveal the internal mechanism of intergenerational transmission of family farms business, discusses the Matching condition of intergenerational transmission of family farms business and its effect , and make quantitative study of the impact of policy support on the intergenerational transmission of family farms business.Finally ,we will put forward the policy suggestion to promote intergenerational transmission of family farms business , and provide theoretical support in order to speed up the development of rural business economy and for food security. On the one hand, the results of this project can enrich the Chinese farmer’s business theory and family farm development theory, on the other hand, it has important reference value for the government to optimize the support policy, and promote intergenerational transmission and sustainable development of family farms business.

随着农村人口老龄化进程加快，我国农业劳动力短缺问题日益突出，“谁来种地”就成为重大社会难题，给我国粮食安全带来前所未有的挑战。而新型农业经营主体的家庭农场持续发展则是破解这一难题的关键。因此，促进家庭农场创业代际传递,使农业生产“后继有人”就显得格外重要。基于代际传递理论和农户创业理论，本项目利用调查数据，在分析家庭农场创业代际传递特征基础上，首先测度家庭农场创业代际传递弹性；然后，一方面构建理论与实证模型，揭示家庭农场创业代际传递的内在机理，另一方面分析家庭农场创业代际传递匹配状况及其效应，考察政策扶持对家庭农场创业代际传递匹配状况的影响；最后提出促进家庭农场创业代际传递的政策建议。本项目研究成果一方面有利于进一步充实和丰富家庭农场发展理论和农户创业理论，为加快我国农村创业经济发展、保障粮食安全提供理论支撑；另一方面，为政府优化扶持政策，促进家庭农场创业代际传递和持续发展提供决策参考。

随着农村人口老龄化进程加快，我国农业劳动力短缺问题日益突出，“谁来种地”就成为重大社会难题，给我国粮食安全带来前所未有的挑战。而新型农业经营主体的家庭农场持续发展则是破解这一难题的关键。因此，促进家庭农场创业代际传递,使农业生产“后继有人”就显得格外重要。本项目利用调查数据，基于代际传递理论和农户创业理论，在分析家庭农场创业代际传递特征基础上，首先测度家庭农场创业代际传递弹性；然后，一方面构建模型揭示家庭农场创业代际传递的内在机理，另一方面分析家庭农场创业代际传递匹配状况及其效应；最后提出促进家庭农场创业代际传递的政策建议。具体研究内容主要包括：（1）家庭农场经营代际传递的实证研究；（2）农村家庭劳动力职业代际流动性研究-以家庭农场为例；（3）农业补贴对农村家庭非农创业影响研究；（4）人口老龄化对居民家庭创业行为的影响；（5）农业龙头企业绿色创业与企业绩效—基于新制度经济学的理论与实证分析；（6）农业龙头企业绿色创业特征、维度与测量；（7）雇工成本对家庭农场规模扩张的影响；（8）互联网使用对家庭农场劳动力资源配置的影响；（9）家庭农场采纳电商行为及其绩效分析；（10）家庭农场经营代际传递对种植业家庭农场经营绩效的影响；（11）提出促进家庭农场创业代际传递的对策建议。本项目研究成果一方面有利于进一步充实和丰富家庭农场发展理论和农户创业理论，为加快我国农村创业经济发展、保障粮食安全提供理论支撑；另一方面，为政府优化扶持政策，促进家庭农场创业代际传递和持续发展提供决策参考。