区域产业转移与产业集群的耦合机理及调控研究

As an important part and outcome of globalization, industrial transfer is the fundamental factor leading to the change of regional integrated strength. Given the direct or indirect influences to regional economic strength, regional function, regional employment, land use, regional image, regional urbanization and industrialization, industry Clusters,etc. industrial transfer is the essential way to narrow the unbalanced development between different regions in China. Nearly half a century, the fact that the four large-scale international industrial transfers and the sharply rising about some countries or regions, such as Japan, "Asian Tigers" and China's southeast coast, has confirmed the feasibility of this theory in practice. .Coupling is a physics concept, which refers to that two or more systems or motion modes jion up by various interactions, and comes out a dynamic incidence relation among different subsystems under the positive interaction.International or domestic industial transfer presents a nonlinear and clustered situation, and promotes the interactive coupling development of industial transfer & industial cluster to make consensus among theory, decision-making section and industry.What's more, the practice in Pearl River Delta and Yangtze River Delta declared that a large-scale industrial transfer often associated with the economic spatial clustering, which takes the industrial transfer as the principal character. Therefore, industrial cluster itself contains industrial transfer factors, and be as the outcome of the industrial transfer. .International experience and China's reality show that regional industrial transfer and industrial cluster are the significant factor in regional development, and exsit interactive coupling. However, there are some connotative problems, for example, what is the interactive coupling mechanism of them both at home and abroad? Can regulate or control? Can simulate quantitatively in the view of space-time ? How to apply in pactice? All what are essential to answer. Applying basic principles of economic geography, regional economics, industrial economics and development economics, consulting advanced achievements and methods of industrial tranfer, industrial cluster and regional coordinated development both at home and abroad, adopting the method of theory and demonstration combination, spatial analysis and mathematical statistics & mathematical modeling combination, and vertical&horizontal comparison combination, taking analysis on coupling mechanism as the principal line, making regional coordinated development as taget, we will analyze the contents， routes, agent，driving force mechanism, model design，mesurment and effection about the coupling between regional industrial transfer and industrial cluster in undertake areas.This study may promote the theory of regional industrial transfer, rich geography connotation, and provide a reference to economic development strategy formulation and policy options.

国际经验和我国的现实表明，产业转移和产业集群均是区域发展图景中的重要促进因素，而区域产业转移和产业集群之间存在着交互耦合的关系。但隐含的问题是：二者交互耦合的机理是什么（移出地的耦合、承接地的耦合及其相互关系）？能否从时空角度予以定量模拟？如何调控并在实践中应用？本研究将运用经济地理学、区域经济学、产业经济学等学科的基本原理和观点，借鉴相关前沿理论成果与方法，采用理论与实证相结合、空间分析与数理统计、数学建模相结合及纵向比较和横向比较相结合的方法，以构建产业集群化转移概念体系为切入点，以分析其耦合机理为主线，以促进区域协调发展为导向，综合分析区域产业转移-产业集群系统耦合的内容与模式、动因与驱动机制、模型设计与度量、效应及其实现路径与调控对策。本研究可以促进产业转移研究的纵深发展，丰富其地理学内涵，并为相关地区经济发展战略的制定和政策设计提供一定的借鉴。

国际经验和我国的现实表明，产业转移和产业集群均是区域发展图景中的重要促进因素，而区域产业转移和产业集群之间存在着交互耦合的关系。本研究运用经济地理学、区域经济学、产业经济学等学科的基本原理和观点，借鉴相关前沿理论成果与方法，采用理论与实证相结合、空间分析与数理统计、数学建模相结合及纵向比较和横向比较相结合的方法，从区域产业转移和产业集群等基本理论梳理入手，重点分析了“产业转移－产业集群－区域协调发展”的内在关系逻辑，系统构建了产业集群化转移的概念体系；综合分析了区域产业转移—产业集群系统耦合的内容、动因与驱动机制。从区域一体化、产业竞争优势及企业成长规律等宏观、中观、微观层面研究区域产业转移—承接地产业集群的耦合模式及路径；设计了区域产业转移—承接地产业集群耦合的实证检验方法体系，从定量分析的角度，设计了产业转移流强度模型、基于空间自相关的产业集群分析模型以及产业转移与产业集群偶和协调性模型，并以江苏省为例，从时空角度对区域产业转移流强度、产业集群发展及二者的耦合协调性进行了模拟。从问卷调查的经验角度，重点就84份淮安市有关转移企业的问卷调查数据展开分析，作为对定量分析结果的再检验。.本研究通过研究案例区域产业转移与产业集群的耦合特征、耦合规律，充分挖掘其所蕴含的深层次地理学知识、原理和方法，既丰富了区域经济地理学的研究领域，又可为产业转移研究提供新的研究方法和研究路径。所分析的有关苏北承接产业转移现状、问题及效应较为全面、客观，所设计的促进苏北协调发展路径具有理论和实践支撑，所提出的实现苏北产业转移与产业集群互动发展的对策具有一定的可行性。因此，本项目的研究对于制定产业转移政策、促进包括苏北在内的广大欠发达地区跨越式发展具有一定的理论和实践指导意义。.本项目共出版专著3部，项目负责人及项目组成员在《地理科学》、《经济地理》、《地域研究开发》、《现代城市研究》等中文期刊发表论文11篇，另在相关国际会议发表论文（ISTP、EI检索）2篇，申请2项国家实用新型专利并获批准，较好地完成既定的工作任务，对人才培养、团队建设等起到良好支撑。