公共服务协同供给的演化博弈、决策优化与绩效评估研究

With the emergence of the new contradictions in the New Era, the supply of public service becomes more and more important. Facing the phenomenons that the subject of supply is disperse, demand is complex, the procedure is various and the result is unbalance and inadequate, collaborative supply becomes more and more important too. Because the most of the academic achievements about it are the qualitative research based on the concept or the case analysis from the practice, the systematic and academic research is urgently needed. Base on the limited resources condition and multiple satisfaction perspectives, this project would use the previous NSFC data, follow the progressive idea cooperative motivation - decision-making - cooperative performance and use methods such as Social Network Analysis, Evolutionary Game, Case Analysis, Questionnaire Investigation, DEA and so on. It want to construct the evolutionary game mechanism between multiple interest subjects in the collaborative supply of public services, establish a decision optimization model as a Multi-objective Bi-level Programming based on benefit maximization, and to clarify the comprehensive performance evaluation system based on "collaborative process - objective result - subjective perception" logic. It has an important scientific significance and application value and helps to enrich and develop the public service theory in the New Era and the governance theory with Chinese characteristics, encourage the government, enterprises and the public to attend the collaboratively supply of public services actively, scientifically and efficiently.

随着新时代新矛盾的出现，公共服务供给的重要性日益凸显。面对当前我国公共服务供给出现的主体分散、需求复杂、程序多元、结果不平衡不充分等现象，协同供给成为重要选择。学术界已有成果，大多是理念概念的定性研究和针对实践的个案分析，亟待系统深入地进行学理研究。本项目拟基于有限资源条件和多元满意视角，利用前一个NSFC已有资料数据，按照“协同动机—协同方案—协同绩效”的递进思路，运用社会网络分析、演化博弈、案例剖析、问卷调查、数据包络分析等方法，构建公共服务协同供给多元利益主体之间的演化博弈机制，建立基于利益最大化的决策优化数学模型，阐明基于“协同过程-客观结果-主观感知”逻辑的综合绩效评估体系。对于丰富和发展新时代公共服务理论和中国特色社会治理理论，引导政府、企业、公众积极主动、科学高效地协同推进公共服务供给，具有重要的科学意义和应用价值。

公共服务供给作为各国执政党及公共部门整合社会资源、提升人民福祉、增强执政能力的重要手段，近年来备受重视。本项目在协同治理理论视域下整合制度分析与发展框架和社会生态系统框架，完善公共服务协同供给理论体系，构建了公共服务协同供给机制动态运行优化模型。在理论研究基础上，项目深入影响协同有效性深层次原因，通过构建政府、市场、公众三方博弈模型，揭示出多元主体演化博弈的协同动机是基于各自的角色及其职能。在有限资源、有限理性和利益博弈情景下，想要促使多元主体协同供给实现利益最大化，需要满足各自的平均收益期望均衡点，达到协同策略的最优选择。行为动机与行为结果产生的绩效会以政策形式体现，政策绩效在变迁历程中呈现逐步提升特色突出的特点，并且随着社会经济发展，公共服务与城市空间优化之间的协同性越来越紧密。在事关民生保障的重点领域，项目选取公共教育服务、社会保障服务、公共卫生服务等进行实践验证，并形成提升公共服务协同供给有效性的优化对策。本项目对在复杂动态环境中，持续提升公共服务协同供给有效性具有一定的理论意义与应用价值。