失败学理论、方法与建筑工程失败监测预警研究

Failure Science is a new subject of manage. The technique route and method had been studied by using systemic theory of engineering reliability. By designing Failure Cause Tree Analysis(FCTA), the failure path, risk source and its inside logic relation were studied. On the basis of this study, the neural network model of forewarning failure has been established. With the self-organizing and learning ability of the neural network model, the lose accident knowledge (data) can be used as examples, this will enable forewarning system intellectualized to combine.with the valued experience of failure. By taking the example of the deep foundation support structure which were at high frequency of accident in high rising building, the failure tree of.foundation support structure and the model of loss forewarning system were set up..

科研和生产活动中失败事例和重大事故引人关注。本项目研究构建管理学科新分支“失败学”的理论和方法。综合运用技术、经济、管理、法学、行为科学等科知识，采用神经网络方法、故障树方法、计算机仿真等方法和手段、对失败形成机制、失败树的建立、失败监测预警进行研究。为传播和活用失败知识资源、保障科研、生产安全作贡献。