投资项目的风险决策和风险管理

The group of this project has done a series of research words on valuation, analysis, and judgment for investment projects, and achieved some theoretical and applicable results in uncertainty decisions and management. Compared with traditional NPV and ROI method, computer simulation has been used to solve investment problems in order to provide a decision support base for managers of investment projects. A research work on revenue managements is also supported by this project.

运用统计决策理论和数量分析方法，对投资项目的不确定性和风险进行度量、分析评估，为风险决策和风险管理服务。针对经典现金流分析和有关方法的不足，引入新的模型和求解算法，面向工程决策实际，利用计算机技术为项目管理者设计出使用的工具。该项研究对实现科学决策、规避风险损失、提高项目管理效率和经济效益，具有十分重要的意义。