基于产品内分工生产率增长空间溢出效应的中国区域经济协调发展路径优化研究

Since the 1990s, China entered into global value chain by processing and assembling spare parts with low-added value, and becomes the world's factory. However, the mode of division that the East China puts the R&D and sales channel abroad shortens our circulation chain largely, while the middle and west area are difficult to integrate into global production networks, which caused the low-locked industrial division and the imbalance in regional economic development. To make full use of the spatial spillovers effects of the provinces with high vertical specialization and extend the global value chain to the Middle and West area is one of main paths to coordinate China regional economy. Based on the collected input-output tables of 30 provinces in 1987,1992,1997,2002,2007 for an index system of China's regional intra-product specialization, this project will provide policy recommendations on the location and industry selection of product chain for different areas when they are carrying on industry transfer by applying spatial data analysis tools,and look for the main factors that restrict the development of intra-product specialization in various regions of China,and put forward suggestions on constructing regional production network, as well as optimizing the coordinated development path of regional economy, which are of important practical significance. At the same time, there are also of great theoretical significance to deepen regional input-output analysis technology, expand theories of regional division mode and regional coordinate development.

上世纪90年代以来，我国从附加值较低的零部件加工组装环节切入全球产品内分工链条并成为世界工厂。然而，东部地区"两头在外"的产品内分工模式使全球价值链在我国循环链条太短，中西部地区难以有效融入全球生产网络，造成产业分工低端锁定和区域经济发展失衡。充分发挥产品内分工水平高的省域的空间溢出效应，让全球价值链延伸到中西部地区是我国区域经济协调发展的主要路径之一。本项目在收集整理我国30个省历年（1987、1992、1997、2002、2007）投入产出表，构建我国区域间产品内分工指标体系的基础上，采用空间计量经济模型，为各地区在承接产业转移时切入产品链的最优区位和最佳行业选择提供决策参考，并考察制约中国各地区产品内分工发展的主要因素，提出构建区域生产网络，优化区域协调发展路径的政策建议，具有重要的现实意义。同时，也对深化区域投入产出分析技术，拓展区域分工理论和区域协调发展理论等具有重要的理论意义。

上世纪 90 年代以来，我国从附加值较低的零部件加工组装环节切入全球产品内分工链条并成为世.界工厂。然而，东部地区"两头在外"的产品内分工模式使全球价值链在我国循环链条太短，中西部地.区难以有效融入全球生产网络，造成产业分工低端锁定和区域经济发展失衡。充分发挥产品内分工水.平高的省域的空间溢出效应，让全球价值链延伸到中西部地区是我国区域经济协调发展的主要路径之.一。本项目在收集整理我国 30 个省历年（1987、1992、 1997、2002、2007）投入产出表，构建我国.区域间产品内分工指标体系的基础上，采用空间计量经济模型，为各地区在承接产业转移时切入产品.链的最优区位和最佳行业选择提供决策参考，并考察制约中国各地区产品内分工发展的主要因素，提.出构建区域生产网络，优化区域协调发展路径的政策建议，具有重要的现实意义。同时，也对深化区.域投入产出分析技术，拓展区域分工理论和区域协调发展理论等具有重要的理论意义。