面向新能源大规模集中并网的电力系统协调规划理论模型及其Multi-Agent模拟分析方法研究

Large-scale new energy integration would change the connotation and action mechanism of power system, and challenge the traditional way of electricity planning. This project intends to consider a variety of uncertainties, and take a research on coordinated planning problem under the context of large-scale new energy integration. First, the impacts of large-scale new energy integration on power system operation are analyzed, on this basis, traditional power system economic operation model is modified; second, considering a variety of uncertainties, three coordinated planning models of multi-type power plants, generation & transmission side, supply &demand side are established, and the corresponding algorithm are put forward; at last, a simulation platform based on Multi-Agent technology is established to test the effect of coordinated planning. This project is conducive to boost innovation of the power system planning theory and methodology, and provide theoretical basis and technical support for solving the problem of large-scale new energy integration, and then promote the low-carbon development of power system.

新能源的大规模集中并网将在较大程度上改变电力系统规划的内涵和作用机理，给传统电力规划实施模式和方法带来问题和挑战。本项目拟考虑多种不确定因素的影响，对新能源大规模集中并网情形下电力系统发、输、用各环节的协调规划问题进行研究。首先，分析新能源大规模并网对电力系统运营的影响，在此基础上对传统的电力系统经济运行模型进行修正；其次，考虑系统内外部多种不确定因素，构建适应新能源大规模集中并网的多类型电源协调规划、发输协调规划以及供需协调规划理论模型并开发相应的算法；最后，构建基于Multi-Agent技术的模拟平台，测试协调规划的效果。本项目的研究将有利于推动电力系统规划理论与方法论创新，为解决新能源大规模并网难题提供理论依据和技术支持，从而促进电力系统低碳化发展。

新能源的大规模集中并网将在较大程度上改变电力系统规划的内涵和作用机理，给传统电力规划实施模式和方法带来问题和挑战。本项目拟考虑多种不确定因素的影响，对新能源大规模集中并网情形下电力系统发、输、用各环节的协调规划问题进行研究。首先，分析了新能源大规模并网对电力系统运营的影响，在此基础上对传统的电力系统经济运行方法进行了修正，并建立了对应的低碳经济调度优化模型；其次，考虑系统内外部多种不确定因素，构建了适应新能源大规模集中并网的多类型电源协调规划、发输协调规划以及供需协调规划理论模型并开发相应的算法；最后，构建了基于Multi-Agent 技术的模拟平台，测试了协调规划的效果。本项目的研究将有利于推动电力系统规划理论与方法论创新，为解决新能源大规模并网难题提供理论依据和技术支持，从而促进电力系统低碳化发展。